Ella Fortmann's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-08-28 55th Kirk Schmaltz XC Invite 55th Kirk Schmaltz XC Invite 9-10 Girls 85 34:10.69 855 866
2023-09-07 50th Bobcat XC Invitational 50th Bobcat XC Invitational JV Girls 224 32:58 777 812
2023-09-12 49th Tom Karpan XC Invite 49th Tom Karpan XC Invite JV girls 178 36:10.5 645 739
2023-09-28 Southeast Polk XC meet Southeast Polk CC Invitational 1 - JV Girls 253 35:33.90 723 727
2023-10-11 CIML Conference Womens 5,000 Meters Junior Varsity 150 29:20.29 878 828
2024-09-05 2024 Ames - Schmaltz XC Invite Ames - Kirk Schmaltz Invitational JV Girls 190 28:32.79 939 936
2024-09-12 51st Marshalltown Bobcat xc Invite 51st Marshalltown Bobcat xc Invite JV girls 157 27:03.79 1082 1026
2024-09-17 50th Tom Karpen XC Invite 50th Tom Karpen XC Invite 3 - JV girls 121 29:52 1054 1045
2024-10-03 Southeast Polk CC Invitational Southeast Polk CC Invitational JV girls 201 28:58.70 1010 1022
2024-10-10 Ft Dodge Cross Country Invite Fort Dodge Cross Country Invite JV girls 330 27:48.79 1026 1024
2024-10-15 CIML Conference XC CIML Conference Cross Country Girls JV 5 km 102 26:56.70 1077 1048

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.