Toby Nielsen's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-09-02 Urbandale Invitational Urbandale Invitational Cross Country Boys 5 km 106 24:32.09 1233 1238
2023-09-07 50th Bobcat XC Invitational 50th Bobcat XC Invitational 9-10 Boys 239 22:37.29 1280 1262
2023-09-16 Heartland XC Classic Mens 5,000 Meters Frosh/Soph 81 21:36.29 1414 1343
2023-09-28 Southeast Polk XC meet Southeast Polk CC Invitational 2 - JV Boys 234 23:32.70 1243 1271
2023-10-05 Fort Dodge Invite Mens 5,000 Meters Junior Varsity 391 21:47.29 1314 1296
2023-10-11 CIML Conference Mens 5,000 Meters Frosh/Soph 114 20:49.90 1498 1526
2024-09-07 2024 Urbandale Invitational XC Urbandale Invitational Cross Country Boys 5 km 71 19:58 1556 1551
2024-09-12 51st Marshalltown Bobcat xc Invite 51st Marshalltown Bobcat xc Invite 9-10 boys 161 20:12.5 1472 1505
2024-09-21 19th Heartland Classic 19th Heartland Classic 9-10-JV boys 151 20:25 1543 1528
2024-10-10 Ft Dodge Cross Country Invite Fort Dodge Cross Country Invite JV boys 192 20:01.20 1571 1555
2024-10-15 CIML Conference XC CIML Conference Cross Country Boys 9/10 5 km 90 20:24.20 1498 1526

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.