Toby Nielsen's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-09-02 Urbandale Invitational Urbandale Invitational Cross Country Boys 5 km 106 24:32.09 1404 1406
2023-09-07 50th Bobcat XC Invitational 50th Bobcat XC Invitational 9-10 Boys 239 22:37.29 1466 1440
2023-09-16 Heartland XC Classic Mens 5,000 Meters Frosh/Soph 81 21:36.29 1591 1521
2023-09-28 Southeast Polk XC meet Southeast Polk CC Invitational 2 - JV Boys 234 23:32.70 1454 1472
2023-10-05 Fort Dodge Invite Mens 5,000 Meters Junior Varsity 391 21:47.29 1513 1496
2023-10-11 CIML Conference Mens 5,000 Meters Frosh/Soph 114 20:49.90 1568 1532
2024-09-07 2024 Urbandale Invitational XC Urbandale Invitational Cross Country Boys 5 km 71 19:58 1765 1759
2024-09-12 51st Marshalltown Bobcat xc Invite 51st Marshalltown Bobcat xc Invite 9-10 boys 161 20:12.5 1665 1703

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.