John Ferguson's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-08-26 Cedar Rapids Prairie Invitational Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity Boys 5K Black 6 16:53.70 2161 2166
2023-09-02 Linn-Mar Invitational Mens 5,000 Meters HS Boys 9 16:30.79 2355 2306
2023-09-07 50th Bobcat XC Invitational 50th Bobcat XC Invitational Varsity Boys 26 16:08.10 2348 2330
2023-09-14 Rich Engel Classic Rich Engel Classic XC Meet Varsity boys 14 16:52.10 2309 2319
2023-09-21 Jim Boughton XC Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity Boys 12 16:05.79 2313 2316
2023-09-30 Steve Johnson Invitational Mens 5,000 Meters Boys Varsity Orange 5000M 49 17:01.70 2270 2293
2023-10-05 MVC Super Meet Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity Boys 18 16:53.70 2289 2291
2023-10-12 2023 MVC Mississippi Divisional XC Meet @ Dubuque Soccer Complex Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity Boys 9 16:28.20 2318 2304
2023-10-18 Iowa State Qualifier - 4A - Iowa City, West Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity 7 16:12.10 2375 2335
2023-10-27 Iowa State Class 4A Championships Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity 33 16:12.89 2397 2368
2024-08-31 Cedar Rapids Prairie Invitational Varsity Boys 5K 37 17:40.40 2161 2166
2024-09-07 2024 Linn-Mar Invitational Boys 5K 11 16:22.60 2360 2305
2024-09-12 51st Marshalltown Bobcat xc Invite 51st Marshalltown Bobcat xc Invite Varsity boys 36 16:06.79 2375 2348
2024-09-19 39th Rich Engel Classic CC 39th Rich Engel Classic CC 6 - Varsity Boys 19 17:11.20 2369 2359

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.