Hilary Paulson's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-08-28 55th Kirk Schmaltz XC Invite 55th Kirk Schmaltz XC Invite JV Girls 152 30:38.5 1029 1037
2023-09-07 Cedar Rapids Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Junior Varsity 130 28:18.88 1002 974
2023-09-12 49th Tom Karpan XC Invite 49th Tom Karpan XC Invite JV girls 119 28:51.79 1102 1046
2023-09-21 Indianola CC Invitational 55th Indianola XC Invitational 1 - 9-10-JV Girls 114 29:18.70 1052 1050
2023-09-28 Bud Williams Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Junior Varsity 131 27:42.99 1072 1043
2023-10-11 CIML Conference Womens 5,000 Meters Junior Varsity 133 27:00.40 1034 1042
2024-09-05 2024 Ames - Schmaltz XC Invite Ames - Kirk Schmaltz Invitational JV Girls 195 28:40.90 929 932
2024-09-12 Cedar Rapids Invitational JV Girls 5K 131 28:37.40 1002 974
2024-09-17 50th Tom Karpen XC Invite 50th Tom Karpen XC Invite 3 - JV girls 117 29:42.40 1069 1021
2024-09-26 56th Indianola CC Invitational 56th Indianola CC Invitational 9-10-JV girls 103 27:44 1005 1012
2024-10-03 Bud Williams Invitational Girls JV 5000M 137 27:42.29 1072 1043
2024-10-15 CIML Conference XC CIML Conference Cross Country Girls JV 5 km 117 27:47.70 972 1001

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.