Natalie Nelson's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-09-28 Southeast Polk XC meet Southeast Polk CC Invitational 1 - JV Girls 53 24:02.90 1411 1412
2023-10-05 Fort Dodge Invite Womens 5,000 Meters Junior Varsity 57 22:21.09 1456 1438
2023-10-11 CIML Conference Womens 5,000 Meters Frosh/Soph 31 22:36.20 1412 1425
2024-09-05 2024 Ames - Schmaltz XC Invite Ames - Kirk Schmaltz Invitational JV Girls 13 21:58.09 1496 1493
2024-09-12 51st Marshalltown Bobcat xc Invite 51st Marshalltown Bobcat xc Invite JV girls 52 22:54.29 1409 1443
2024-10-03 Southeast Polk CC Invitational Southeast Polk CC Invitational JV girls 97 25:34.09 1287 1329
2024-10-10 Ft Dodge Cross Country Invite Fort Dodge Cross Country Invite JV girls 135 24:15.40 1311 1317
2024-10-15 CIML Conference XC CIML Conference Cross Country Girls JV 5 km 65 24:58.90 1232 1279

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.