Cael Ferguson's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-08-28 Webster City Lynx CC Invite JV Boys 5000 Meter Run PURPLE DIVISION 54 23:52.79 1537 1536
2023-08-31 South Hardin XC @ Pine Lake Country Club 5,000 Meters Varsity Boys 126 24:58 1497 1515
2023-09-07 GILBERT CC INVITATIONAL Boys 5k Run CC JUNIOR VARSITY 123 23:06.90 1444 1480
2023-09-11 43rd Mike Carr Invitational 43rd Mike Carr Invitational XC Meet JV Boys 209 23:43 1438 1461
2023-09-21 Roland Story CC Invite Boys 5k Run Junior Varsity 48 22:55.56 1626 1620
2023-09-25 Nevada XC Invitational Mens 5,000 Meters JV Boys 55 23:21.40 1469 1470
2023-10-02 North Polk CC Invite Boys 5k Run CC Junior Varsity 54 23:22.49 1498 1482
2023-10-09 HOIAC Conference CC Meet Boys 5k Run High School 67 22:09.32 1474 1478
2024-09-05 South Hardin XC Varsity Boys 66 22:44.90 1652 1647
2024-09-12 Gilbert CC Invite Boys 5k Junior Varsity 81 21:04 1615 1628
2024-09-16 44th Mike Carr CC Invite 44th Mike Carr CC Invite JV boys 81 22:22 1595 1613
2024-09-26 Roland Story CC Invite Boys 5k JUNIOR VARSITY 41 20:52.99 1626 1620
2024-09-30 Nevada Cubs JV Boys 22 21:58 1662 1638
2024-10-14 HOIC High School Boys 60 20:59.5 1620 1628

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.