Nate Lukkarinen's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-08-26 Anamosa August XC Meet Boys 5k 49 18:26.20 1634 1632
2023-09-02 Pleasant Valley Spartan Classic Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity 77 19:04 1717 1682
2023-09-07 Cedar Rapids Invitational Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity 91 18:54.10 1779 1705
2023-09-14 Timm Lamb Cross Country Invitational Varsity Boys - A 15 18:15.70 1823 1774
2023-09-18 2023 Muscatine XC Invitational Varsity Male 8 19:02 1720 1722
2023-09-26 Iowa City West Invitational 2023 Varsity Boys 5000 Meter Run Finals 27 18:56.79 1715 1718
2023-10-05 Jim Hetrick Invitational (Central DeWitt) Mens 5,000 Meters Boys Varsity 5K 43 18:30.5 1719 1741
2023-10-12 2023 MAC XC Conference Championships Varsity Boys 42 19:00 1694 1712
2023-10-18 Iowa State Qualifier - 4A - Iowa City, West Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity 42 18:26.20 1684 1699
2024-08-31 Anamosa August XC Varsity Boys 5k 42 20:43.70 1657 1659
2024-09-07 2024 Spartan Challenge Varsity Male 91 19:21 1646 1651
2024-09-12 Cedar Rapids Invitational Varsity Boys 5K 68 18:18.90 1779 1705
2024-09-19 Timm Lamb Cross Country Invitational VARSITY BOYS A 16 18:31.90 1823 1774
2024-09-23 Muscatine XC Invitational HS Boys 8 18:13 1785 1780
2024-10-01 Iowa City West Invitational Varsity Boys 31 18:40.79 1755 1767
2024-10-10 Jim Hetrick Invitational (Central DeWitt) Boys Varsity 5K 62 18:43.09 1719 1741
2024-10-16 Mississippi Athletic Conference Meet Boys Varsity 5K 56 18:39.90 1659 1702
2024-10-23 4A SQM Pleasant Valley Boys Varsity 56 18:52 1692 1697

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.