Micah Fern's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-08-28 Trojan Early Bird Invitational Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity Boys 5K 20 18:21.09 1897 1890
2023-09-02 Linn-Mar Invitational Mens 5,000 Meters HS Boys 15 16:48.10 2112 2024
2023-09-07 50th Bobcat XC Invitational 50th Bobcat XC Invitational Varsity Boys 58 16:42.29 2055 2048
2023-09-16 Heartland XC Classic Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity 52 16:52.20 2166 2112
2023-09-21 Jim Boughton XC Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity Boys 17 16:18 2394 2384
2023-09-30 Steve Johnson Invitational Mens 5,000 Meters Boys Varsity Orange 5000M 23 16:29.39 2291 2202
2023-10-05 MVC Super Meet Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity Boys 24 17:02.10 2117 2149
2023-10-12 2023 MVC Valley Divisional Meet Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity 14 16:24.80 2115 2130
2023-10-18 Iowa State Qualifier - 4A - Pleasant Valley Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity 19 16:52 2129 2130
2023-10-27 Iowa State Class 4A Championships Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity 68 16:38 2147 2138
2024-09-07 2024 Spartan Challenge Varsity Male 15 16:28 2337 2332
2024-09-12 51st Marshalltown Bobcat xc Invite 51st Marshalltown Bobcat xc Invite Varsity boys 20 15:45.39 2356 2345
2024-09-19 39th Rich Engel Classic CC 39th Rich Engel Classic CC 6 - Varsity Boys 8 16:31.5 2406 2374
2024-09-26 Jim Boughton XC Varsity Boys 8 15:54.60 2394 2384
2024-10-03 Bud Williams Invitational Boys Varsity 5000M 5 16:35.10 2377 2381
2024-10-17 MVC Valley Divisional Varsity Boys 5K 6 15:39.70 2381 2381
2024-10-23 4A State Qualifier @ Dubuque Senior High School Boys 9 15:43.20 2386 2383
2024-11-01 4A Iowa High School Cross Country Championships Class 4A Boys 5000M 20 15:58.39 2461 2421

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.