Natalie Smith's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-08-29 Dallas Center-Grimes Invitational Dallas Center-Grimes Invitational XC Girls 5 km 59 24:33 1459 1459
2023-09-02 Pella Dutch XC Invite Pella Dutch XC Invite Girls 36 23:02 1512 1488
2023-09-07 Winterset CC Invite Girls 5k Run HIGH SCHOOL 15 22:01.02 1420 1421
2023-09-11 43rd Mike Carr Invitational 43rd Mike Carr Invitational XC Meet A & B Girls 72 22:45.40 1513 1507
2023-09-15 Tiger Invitational XC Tiger Invitational XC Varsity Girls 5 km 19 22:07.90 1556 1526
2023-09-21 Indianola CC Invitational 55th Indianola XC Invitational 3 - Varsity Girls 42 23:37.59 1449 1493
2023-09-26 Knoxville invitational 2023 Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run Finals 13 23:34.21 1430 1463
2023-09-28 Perry CC Invite Girls 5k Run Varsity 31 22:58 1442 1455
2023-10-05 Atlantic Invitational 2023 Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run Finals 51 23:47.17 1418 1438
2023-10-10 2023 Raccoon River Conference XC Raccoon River Conference XC Varsity Girls 5 km 36 23:01.20 1412 1427
2023-10-18 Iowa State Qualifier - 3A - Winterset Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 49 23:28.20 1381 1405
2024-09-03 2024 DC-G Invitational XC Dallas Center-Grimes Cross Country Girls 5 km 64 24:36.29 1423 1422
2024-09-10 Winterset CC Invite Girls 5k Varsity 32 24:04.63 1420 1421
2024-09-12 Gilbert CC Invite Girls 5k Varsity 108 23:51.70 1330 1387
2024-09-16 44th Mike Carr CC Invite 44th Mike Carr CC Invite Class A-B girls 69 24:31.70 1393 1390

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.