Natalie Leitzen's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-08-28 Trojan Early Bird Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity Girls 5K 13 22:11.09 1592 1591
2023-09-02 Linn-Mar Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters HS Girls 18 21:24.90 1595 1593
2023-09-07 50th Bobcat XC Invitational 50th Bobcat XC Invitational Varsity Girls 54 20:31.5 1661 1623
2023-09-09 All-American Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 67 21:42.59 1580 1606
2023-09-14 Rich Engel Classic Rich Engel Classic XC Meet Varsity girls 38 21:32.70 1611 1608
2023-09-21 Jim Boughton XC Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity Girls 41 20:35.79 1580 1595
2023-09-30 Steve Johnson Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Girls Varsity Orange 5000M 78 22:11.90 1602 1599
2023-10-05 MVC Super Meet Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity Girls 37 20:59.29 1608 1603
2023-10-12 2023 MVC Valley Divisional Meet Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 20 20:07.20 1593 1599
2023-10-18 Iowa State Qualifier - 4A - Pleasant Valley Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 30 21:12 1583 1592
2023-10-27 Iowa State Class 4A Championships Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 96 20:10.70 1629 1610
2024-09-07 2024 Spartan Challenge Varsity Female 58 21:39 1556 1559
2024-09-12 51st Marshalltown Bobcat xc Invite 51st Marshalltown Bobcat xc Invite Varsity girls 63 20:32.90 1625 1596
2024-09-14 Luther All-American Invitational Johnson-Olson All-American Race Girls Varsity 5k (Varsity) 59 21:05.70 1649 1619
2024-09-19 39th Rich Engel Classic CC 39th Rich Engel Classic CC Varsity Girls 24 22:02.20 1640 1628

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.