Piper Messerly's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-08-29 Dallas Center-Grimes Invitational Dallas Center-Grimes Invitational XC Girls 5 km 1 19:29 2479 2463
2023-09-07 50th Bobcat XC Invitational 50th Bobcat XC Invitational Varsity Girls 2 18:20.70 2499 2484
2023-09-16 Heartland XC Classic Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 1 18:38 2503 2494
2023-10-05 Fort Dodge Invite Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 4 18:16.90 2477 2484
2023-10-09 Little Hawkeye Conference XC Little Hawkeye Conference XC Championship - Varsity Girls 1 18:32.59 2580 2625
2023-10-18 Iowa State Qualifier - 4A - Ames Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 3 18:06.96 2446 2467
2023-10-27 Iowa State Class 4A Championships Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 6 18:10.90 2470 2469
2024-09-03 2024 DC-G Invitational XC Dallas Center-Grimes Cross Country Girls 5 km 1 19:04.59 2624 2620
2024-09-12 51st Marshalltown Bobcat xc Invite 51st Marshalltown Bobcat xc Invite Varsity girls 2 17:59 2633 2628
2024-09-20 Roy Griak Invitational Girls' Championship 5k 29 19:50.59 2640 2634
2024-10-03 Southeast Polk CC Invitational Southeast Polk CC Invitational Varsity girls 1 18:46.70 2647 2641
2024-10-10 Ft Dodge Cross Country Invite Fort Dodge Cross Country Invite Varsity girls 1 18:11.59 2672 2656
2024-10-14 Little Hawkeye Conference XC Little Hawkeye Conference Championship Varsity girls 3 19:02.90 2580 2625
2024-10-23 4A SQM Marshalltown 4a State CC Qualifying Meet - Girls 1 17:51.5 2649 2638
2024-11-01 4A Iowa High School Cross Country Championships Class 4A Girls 5000M 1 17:58.70 2707 2674

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.