Ella Welch's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-09-02 Pleasant Valley Spartan Classic Womens 5,000 Meters Junior Varsity 38 23:53 1417 1419
2023-09-07 Cedar Rapids Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Junior Varsity 15 22:29.16 1502 1474
2023-09-21 Jim Boughton XC Womens 5,000 Meters JV Girls 13 21:54.5 1521 1514
2023-09-28 Bud Williams Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 61 22:21.90 1465 1454
2023-10-12 2023 MAC XC Conference Championships Junior Varsity Girls 4 22:18.90 1440 1446
2024-09-07 2024 Spartan Challenge JV Female 32 23:01 1437 1438
2024-09-12 Cedar Rapids Invitational JV Girls 5K 14 22:15.29 1502 1474
2024-09-21 Richard Spring XC Invitational Open Girls 73 20:58.92 1533 1507
2024-09-26 Jim Boughton XC JV Girls 6 21:41.79 1521 1514
2024-10-05 Dan Huston/Steve Johnson Invitational Girls JV 5000M 12 22:25.5 1497 1505
2024-10-12 Sterling HS Invitational Girls Varsity 26 21:48.40 1499 1502
2024-10-16 Mississippi Athletic Conference Meet Girls Junior Varsity 5K 3 21:33 1492 1498

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.