Jacey Welbig's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-08-31 Okoboji Invitational 2023 Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run Finals 10 21:17.01 1717 1713
2023-09-05 Estherville-Lincoln-Central Meet Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 5 21:43.15 1668 1688
2023-09-11 E-Hawk XC Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 5 22:51.59 1664 1627
2023-09-18 Humboldt Invitational 2023 Girls 5000 Meter Run Finals 3 22:02.27 1679 1673
2023-09-25 Algona Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 8 20:25.99 1725 1697
2023-10-02 Lake Mills Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity Girls 5K 4 21:09.59 1334 1438
2023-10-09 Forest City Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters High School 4 20:18.29 1490 1483
2023-10-12 Top of Iowa Conference Championships Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 5 21:05.29 1753 1713
2023-10-19 Iowa State Qualifier - 1A - Spencer Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 4 20:45 1696 1704
2023-10-27 Iowa State Class 1A Championships Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 26 20:16.59 1708 1706
2024-09-05 Spirit Lake/Okoboji XC Meet Girls 5000m Varsity 18 21:45.02 1629 1632
2024-09-10 ELC XC Meet Girls 5000m High School 9 21:53.93 1537 1579
2024-09-16 E-Hawk XC Invitational Girls Varsity 5K 6 24:08.59 1664 1627
2024-09-23 Humboldt XC Meet Girls 5000m Varsity 11 22:28.72 1584 1602
2024-10-07 Lake Mills Invitational Girls High School 5K 12 23:28.09 1334 1438
2024-10-14 Forest City Invitational Girls Varsity 5000M 14 22:27.09 1490 1483
2024-10-17 TIC Conference Championships Girls Varsity 5000M 16 22:08.40 1509 1497
2024-10-24 IHSSA/IGHSAU 1A State Qualifier - Central Springs Girls 5000M 13 21:35.29 1526 1511

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.