Avary Fults's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2024-09-12 51st Marshalltown Bobcat xc Invite 51st Marshalltown Bobcat xc Invite JV girls 139 26:21.79 1124 1130
2024-09-16 44th Mike Carr CC Invite 44th Mike Carr CC Invite JV girls 36 26:50.5 1210 1176
2024-09-19 2024 Independence Invitational Girls High School 75 28:37.91 1122 1149
2024-09-23 Humboldt XC Meet Girls 5000m Junior Varsity 3 26:08.71 1248 1192
2024-09-26 Panther Invitational Girls Varsity 5000M 78 26:06.5 1190 1191
2024-09-30 Nevada Cubs JV Girls 24 26:47.40 1172 1183
2024-10-15 North Central Conference Meet Girls Junior Varsity 5K 7 24:44.20 1222 1206

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.