Bailey Kestel's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-08-26 Anamosa August XC Meet Girls 5k 126 28:18.09 1145 1151
2023-09-09 All-American Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 239 30:37.20 1060 1092
2023-09-14 Rich Engel Classic Rich Engel Classic XC Meet JV girls 177 31:05.5 1094 1093
2023-09-21 Jim Boughton XC Womens 5,000 Meters JV Girls 105 28:18.09 1084 1089
2023-09-30 Steve Johnson Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Girls JV 5000M 141 32:49.40 1115 1102
2023-10-05 MVC Super Meet Womens 5,000 Meters JV Girls 98 29:33.5 996 1014
2024-09-03 2024 Oelwein Invitational Girls Junior Varsity 5K 118 30:36 1037 1039
2024-09-07 2024 Linn-Mar Invitational Girls 5K 143 30:21.29 1013 1025
2024-09-14 Luther All-American Invitational Lynch-Dobyns All-American Race Girls Junior Varsity 5k (Junior Varsity) 219 30:04.29 1025 1025
2024-09-19 39th Rich Engel Classic CC 39th Rich Engel Classic CC JV girls 135 32:02.90 1088 1051
2024-10-10 MVC Super Meet JV Girls 5K 100 29:45.29 996 1014
2024-10-17 MVC Valley Divisional Girls Fr-So & JV JV 64 30:28.59 918 965

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.