Lucy Murphy's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-08-22 Central DeWitt Early Bird Girls 5k 1 20:58.53 2222 2210
2023-08-28 Bruess Invitational 2023 Girls 5k 1 20:59.09 2210 2210
2023-09-07 Cedar Rapids Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 12 19:24.24 2262 2260
2023-09-14 Cascade Invitational 2023 Girls 5000 Meter Run Finals 4 20:26.70 2212 2192
2023-09-21 Jim Boughton XC Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity Girls 15 19:05.20 2182 2224
2023-09-28 Western Dubuque Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 3 20:20.20 2284 2256
2023-10-05 MVC Super Meet Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity Girls 9 19:43.79 2246 2251
2023-10-12 2023 MVC Mississippi Divisional XC Meet @ Dubuque Soccer Complex Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity Girls 5 19:11.40 2194 2196
2023-10-18 Iowa State Qualifier - 3A - Solon Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 2 19:23 2201 2199
2023-10-28 Iowa State Class 3A Championships Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 14 19:22.29 2218 2208
2024-09-03 Bruess Invitational 2024 Girls 5000 Meter Run Finals 3 20:42.20 2259 2257
2024-09-12 Cedar Rapids Invitational Varsity Girls 5K 8 19:48.40 2262 2260
2024-09-19 Cascade Invitational Girls 5K 5 20:37.79 2259 2259
2024-09-26 Jim Boughton XC Varsity Girls 26 19:37.09 2182 2224
2024-10-03 Western Dubuque Invitational Varsity Girls 2 20:03.29 2284 2256
2024-10-10 MVC Super Meet Varsity Girls 5K 13 19:13.5 2246 2251
2024-10-17 MVC Valley Divisional Varsity Girls 5K 5 18:57.20 2320 2283
2024-10-23 2024 Iowa Class 3A State Qualifier - Waverly-Shell Rock HS Girls 5K 3 19:02.20 2298 2291
2024-11-01 3A Iowa High School Cross Country Championships Class 3A Girls 5000M 17 19:16.20 2316 2304

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.