Lilly Graham's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-08-22 Central DeWitt Early Bird Girls 5k 14 26:25.23 1364 1367
2023-08-28 Bruess Invitational 2023 Girls 5k 8 26:11.79 1342 1353
2023-09-07 Cedar Rapids Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Junior Varsity 33 23:45.5 1452 1403
2023-09-14 Cascade Invitational 2023 Girls 5000 Meter Run Finals 38 23:59.79 1461 1400
2023-09-21 Jim Boughton XC Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity Girls 70 21:58.90 1509 1469
2023-09-28 Western Dubuque Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 26 22:36.70 1419 1442
2023-10-05 MVC Super Meet Womens 5,000 Meters JV Girls 10 22:24.20 1437 1439
2024-09-03 Bruess Invitational 2024 Girls 5000 Meter Run Finals 42 26:28.90 1258 1263
2024-09-12 Cedar Rapids Invitational Varsity Girls 5K 70 22:59.79 1452 1403
2024-09-19 Cascade Invitational Girls 5K 36 24:28.29 1444 1430
2024-09-26 Jim Boughton XC Varsity Girls 73 21:46.5 1509 1469
2024-10-03 Western Dubuque Invitational Varsity Girls 37 23:36.79 1419 1442
2024-10-10 MVC Super Meet Varsity Girls 5K 77 22:12.40 1437 1439
2024-10-17 MVC Valley Divisional Varsity Girls 5K 33 21:28.5 1495 1467
2024-10-23 2024 Iowa Class 3A State Qualifier - Waverly-Shell Rock HS Girls 5K 41 21:21 1483 1475

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.