Alyssa Welbig's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-08-31 Okoboji Invitational 2023 Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run Finals 47 24:52.15 1418 1420
2023-09-05 Estherville-Lincoln-Central Meet Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 25 24:36.27 1444 1433
2023-09-11 E-Hawk XC Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 10 25:01.59 1366 1355
2023-09-18 Humboldt Invitational 2023 Girls 5000 Meter Run Finals 42 25:56.36 1375 1417
2023-09-25 Algona Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 51 23:22.70 1450 1435
2023-10-02 Lake Mills Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity Girls 5K 12 24:14.20 1343 1359
2023-10-09 Forest City Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters High School 33 23:50.70 1340 1349
2023-10-12 Top of Iowa Conference Championships Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 34 24:21.09 1412 1393
2023-10-19 Iowa State Qualifier - 1A - Spencer Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 50 26:37.13 1199 1316
2024-09-05 Spirit Lake/Okoboji XC Meet Girls 5000m Varsity 59 24:34.19 1389 1387
2024-09-10 ELC XC Meet Girls 5000m High School 28 24:37.89 1306 1340
2024-09-16 E-Hawk XC Invitational Girls Varsity 5K 16 27:14.5 1366 1355
2024-09-23 Humboldt XC Meet Girls 5000m Varsity 41 25:14.10 1333 1343
2024-09-30 Algona CC Invite Girls 5k VARSITY 48 24:24.40 1415 1378
2024-10-07 Lake Mills Invitational Girls High School 5K 11 23:24.20 1343 1359
2024-10-14 Forest City Invitational Girls Varsity 5000M 28 23:51.79 1340 1349
2024-10-17 TIC Conference Championships Girls Varsity 5000M 38 23:52.40 1353 1351
2024-10-24 IHSSA/IGHSAU 1A State Qualifier - Central Springs Girls 5000M 45 23:50.09 1286 1323

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.