Shane Ayres's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2024-08-31 Dragon Sunrise XC Invite Dragon Sunrise XC Invitational - Boys 193 23:13.5 1450 1451
2024-09-12 51st Marshalltown Bobcat xc Invite 51st Marshalltown Bobcat xc Invite 9-10 boys 282 22:31.09 1445 1447
2024-09-17 50th Tom Karpen XC Invite 50th Tom Karpen XC Invite JV boys 133 23:32.59 1520 1481
2024-10-05 Dan Huston/Steve Johnson Invitational Boys JV 5000M 262 22:27.79 1494 1490
2024-10-10 Ft Dodge Cross Country Invite Fort Dodge Cross Country Invite JV boys 411 22:17.09 1505 1497
2024-10-15 CIML Conference XC CIML Conference Cross Country Boys 9/10 5 km 135 21:31 1561 1524

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.