Lilly Supple's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-08-22 Central DeWitt Early Bird Girls 5k 6 24:26.84 1479 1479
2023-08-26 Cedar Rapids Prairie Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Orange 27 23:46.90 1431 1398
2023-09-01 Bob Brown Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 46 23:43.84 1455 1446
2023-09-09 Monticello XC Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity Girls 49 22:24.40 1303 1383
2023-09-14 Cascade Invitational 2023 Girls 5000 Meter Run Finals 27 22:58.29 1515 1477
2023-09-23 Anamosa XC Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity Girls 37 23:43.09 1438 1456
2023-09-28 Western Dubuque Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 36 23:07.20 1455 1456
2023-10-03 West Delaware Hawks XC Womens 5,000 Meters Girls Varsity 64 23:22.59 1414 1438
2023-10-07 North Linn Invitational XC Meet Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity Girls 38 21:26 1505 1465
2023-10-10 River Valley Conference XC Meet 2023 Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run Finals 35 22:44 1450 1458
2023-10-19 Iowa State Qualifier - 1A - North Linn Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 15 21:43.40 1475 1467
2024-08-27 Maquoketa XC Meet Girls 5k 13 27:46.90 1351 1355
2024-08-31 Cedar Rapids Prairie Invitational Varsity Girls 5K 64 23:41.20 1431 1398
2024-09-05 2024 BOB BROWN CROSS COUNTRY CLASSIC Girls 5k 56 24:08.04 1439 1419
2024-09-10 Tipton XC Varsity Girls 24 23:31.70 1439 1429
2024-09-14 Monticello XC Varsity Girls 66 24:40.59 1303 1383
2024-09-19 Cascade Invitational Girls 5K 55 25:42.5 1351 1364

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.