Natalie Folkerts's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-08-31 South Hardin XC @ Pine Lake Country Club Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity Girls 102 30:07.70 1150 1156
2023-09-07 Bob Scott Invitational (North Fayette Valley) Womens 5,000 Meters Girls 5K 109 27:16.70 1211 1189
2023-09-12 Starmont Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Girls Junior Varsity 5K 57 27:41.5 1200 1206
2023-09-14 Rich Engel Classic Rich Engel Classic XC Meet JV girls 112 27:47.70 1146 1163
2023-09-18 Denver Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Girls JV 5K 27 27:39.59 1202 1204
2023-09-26 Jesup Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters JV Girls 5K 33 26:09.09 1162 1184
2023-09-30 Steve Johnson Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Girls JV 5000M 31 25:38.90 1347 1206
2023-10-03 Dike-New Hartford Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters JV Girls 34 26:27.40 1186 1195
2024-09-05 South Hardin XC Varsity Girls 77 29:18.29 1185 1185
2024-09-12 2024 Bob Scott Invitational (North Fayette Valley) Girls 5K 65 26:26.70 1231 1212
2024-09-17 Starmont Invitational Girls Junior Varsity 5K 26 27:00 1200 1206
2024-09-23 Denver Invitational Girls JV 5K 14 26:16.29 1202 1204
2024-10-01 Jesup Invitational JV Girls 5K 30 25:05.70 1162 1184
2024-10-05 Dan Huston/Steve Johnson Invitational Girls Varsity Orange 5000M 98 26:22.29 1180 1183
2024-10-08 Dike New-Hartford Invitational JV Girls 5K 22 25:31.90 1161 1175
2024-10-17 North Iowa Cedar League Conference Meet Girls Junior Varsity 5K 20 25:07.29 1157 1166

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.