Natalie Goodner's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-08-29 Oelwein Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Girls Junior Varsity 5K 13 25:08.09 1448 1449
2023-09-09 All-American Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Junior Varsity 62 23:52.29 1380 1406
2023-09-14 Rich Engel Classic Rich Engel Classic XC Meet Varsity girls 111 24:11.5 1387 1396
2023-09-19 Waukon Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Junior Varsity 8 23:33.23 1435 1420
2023-09-28 Western Dubuque Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Junior Varsity 5 23:31.70 1369 1395
2023-10-03 South Winneshiek Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 25 22:23 1403 1399
2023-10-10 Northeast Iowa Conference Championships Womens 5,000 Meters Junior Varsity 5 22:28.79 1463 1443
2024-09-03 2024 Oelwein Invitational Girls Junior Varsity 5K 18 24:29.40 1400 1401
2024-09-14 Luther All-American Invitational Lynch-Dobyns All-American Race Girls Junior Varsity 5k (Junior Varsity) 48 23:51.79 1379 1387
2024-09-19 39th Rich Engel Classic CC 39th Rich Engel Classic CC Varsity Girls 62 24:24.40 1432 1408
2024-09-24 Waukon Invitational Junior Varsity Girls 5K 2 23:15.5 1435 1420
2024-10-03 Western Dubuque Invitational Varsity Girls 44 24:11.59 1369 1395
2024-10-08 South Winneshiek Invitational Girls Varsity 5000M 30 22:44.29 1403 1399
2024-10-15 Northeast Iowa Conference High School Girls 28 23:05.97 1410 1404

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.