Grayden Forsythe's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-08-31 Okoboji Invitational 2023 Varsity Boys 5000 Meter Run Finals 53 21:46.09 1661 1659
2023-09-05 Estherville-Lincoln-Central Meet Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity 52 22:38.76 1587 1618
2023-09-11 E-Hawk XC Invitational Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity 22 23:33.90 1300 1336
2023-09-14 Chris Smith Invitational 2023 Varsity Boys 5000 Meter Run Finals 70 21:10.51 1673 1637
2023-09-21 Panther Invitational Mens 5,000 Meters High School 92 22:02.06 1524 1586
2023-09-25 Algona Invitational Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity 99 23:11.71 1467 1530
2023-09-30 Pocahontas Invitational 2023 Varsity Boys 5000 Meter Run Finals 35 20:44.24 1689 1613
2023-10-03 South Central Calhoun Titan Invite Mens 5,000 Meters Boys 5000 Meter Run Varsity 63 23:11.05 1481 1536
2023-10-14 Twin Lakes Conference XC Meet Boys 5k Run High School 43 22:31.38 1537 1537
2023-10-19 Iowa State Qualifier - 1A - Panorama Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity 62 23:54.29 1414 1481
2024-08-29 Southeast Valley Invitational Boys 5k Run CC Wave 1 96 25:59.89 1374 1377
2024-09-05 Spirit Lake/Okoboji XC Meet Boys 5000m Varsity 123 24:42.15 1367 1372
2024-09-10 ELC XC Meet Boys 5000m High School 77 24:07.56 1355 1364
2024-09-16 E-Hawk XC Invitational Boys Varsity 5K 33 27:46.09 1300 1336

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.