Otis Welch's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-08-29 Clinton Schoolhouse Open 2023 JV Boys 5000 Meter Run Finals 62 29:56.79 1136 1142
2023-09-11 Midland XC Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity Boys 32 25:37.59 1012 1031
2023-09-18 Comet Cross Country Invitational XC Mens 5,000 Meters Varsity Boys 67 24:51.40 1265 1241
2023-09-25 Bill Bails Invitational (North Cedar) Mens 5,000 Meters Boys Junior Varsity 5K 22 29:47.90 1336 1210
2023-10-05 Jim Hetrick Invitational (Central DeWitt) Mens 5,000 Meters Boys Junior Varsity 5K 60 24:16.59 1212 1212
2023-10-10 River Valley Conference XC Meet 2023 Varsity Boys 5000 Meter Run Finals 120 24:08 1334 1303
2024-09-03 2024 Clinton Schoolhouse Open Varsity Boys 67 31:57 904 911
2024-09-10 Tipton XC Varsity Boys 76 27:42.59 1092 1041
2024-09-12 Northeast Cross Country Invitational Boys 5000 Meter Run 37 29:30.89 1055 1050
2024-09-16 Midland XC High School Boys 47 29:35.20 1012 1031
2024-09-23 Bellevue Invitational Varsity Boys 57 24:41.29 1192 1099
2024-09-30 Bill Bails Invitational (North Cedar) Boys Varsity 5K 58 24:49.40 1336 1210
2024-10-10 Jim Hetrick Invitational (Central DeWitt) Boys Varsity 5K 119 24:55.5 1212 1212
2024-10-15 River Valley XC High School Boys 132 28:05.90 1017 1115
2024-10-24 2A State Qualifier @ Monticello High School Boys 93 23:50.09 1257 1217

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.