Nathan Butler's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2024-09-12 Fairfield Invitational XC HS Boys 97 22:29 1368 1370
2024-09-17 North Scott Lancer XC JV Boys 35 21:53.20 1377 1374
2024-09-19 Cascade Invitational Boys 5K 104 22:35.5 1386 1379
2024-09-26 Jim Boughton XC JV Boys 66 20:37.90 1400 1388
2024-09-30 Bill Bails Invitational (North Cedar) Boys Varsity 5K 30 20:40.79 1471 1419
2024-10-03 Western Dubuque Invitational JV Boys 33 21:00.59 1455 1434
2024-10-10 Jim Hetrick Invitational (Central DeWitt) Boys Junior Varsity 5K 20 20:20.20 1478 1455
2024-10-16 Mississippi Athletic Conference Meet Boys Junior Varsity 5K 42 20:03.5 1419 1438

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.