Natalie Nichols's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2024-09-10 Dick Pollitt Classic (Waverly-Shell Rock) Girls 9th/10th 5K 63 26:37.5 1187 1193
2024-09-14 Benton Community Invitational Girls 5K 62 30:45.29 871 989
2024-09-17 Starmont Invitational Girls Junior Varsity 5K 53 29:23.29 1039 1035
2024-09-19 2024 Independence Invitational Girls High School 91 31:14.83 986 1008
2024-09-24 Vinton-Shellsburg Invitational Girls 5K 43 26:17.09 1155 1077
2024-10-08 West Delaware Hawks XC Varsity Girls 124 27:27.40 990 1013
2024-10-17 2024 WaMaC Conference Championships Varsity Girls 5K 67 27:13.09 996 1003

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.