Aubrey Mracek's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-08-31 South Hardin XC @ Pine Lake Country Club Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity Girls 124 32:18.59 1018 1026
2023-09-07 Bob Scott Invitational (North Fayette Valley) Womens 5,000 Meters Girls 5K 158 30:42.59 948 981
2023-09-12 Starmont Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Girls Junior Varsity 5K 87 29:18.20 1031 1007
2023-09-14 Rich Engel Classic Rich Engel Classic XC Meet JV girls 156 29:44.79 1016 1011
2023-09-18 Denver Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Girls JV 5K 43 30:04.70 976 997
2023-09-26 Jesup Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters JV Girls 5K 70 28:23.59 980 989
2023-09-30 Steve Johnson Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Girls JV 5000M 123 30:47.90 1083 1025
2023-10-03 Dike-New Hartford Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters JV Girls 64 28:45.90 995 1011
2023-10-11 NICL Conference Meet Womens 5,000 Meters Girls Junior Varsity 5K 68 27:39.5 964 988
2024-09-05 South Hardin XC Varsity Girls 132 40:33.30 573 581

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.