Natalie Dezarn's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-08-26 Iowa Falls-Alden XC Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity Girls 70 29:16.59 1314 1317
2023-08-31 South Hardin XC @ Pine Lake Country Club Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity Girls 78 28:48.40 1432 1386
2023-09-07 Bob Scott Invitational (North Fayette Valley) Womens 5,000 Meters Girls 5K 88 25:47.79 1482 1442
2023-09-12 Starmont Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Girls Junior Varsity 5K 49 27:33.29 1344 1387
2023-09-14 Rich Engel Classic Rich Engel Classic XC Meet JV girls 71 26:22.09 1429 1409
2023-09-26 Jesup Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters JV Girls 5K 19 25:24.40 1416 1413
2023-09-30 Steve Johnson Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Girls Varsity Orange 5000M 327 29:12 1322 1372
2023-10-03 Dike-New Hartford Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters JV Girls 18 25:13.29 1445 1406
2023-10-11 NICL Conference Meet Womens 5,000 Meters Girls Junior Varsity 5K 10 22:45 1565 1475

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.