Brian Winkler's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2024-08-27 Maquoketa XC Meet Boys 5k 20 23:43.5 1457 1458
2024-08-31 Anamosa August XC Varsity Boys 5k 93 23:33.5 1315 1375
2024-09-12 Northeast Cross Country Invitational Boys 5000 Meter Run 33 25:30.44 1096 1199
2024-09-17 North Scott Lancer XC Varsity Boys 57 22:55.40 1277 1265
2024-09-19 Cascade Invitational Boys 5K 109 22:44.09 1362 1308
2024-09-28 Anamosa Invitational High School Boys 76 21:18.59 1436 1378
2024-10-08 West Delaware Hawks XC Varsity Boys 145 25:08.79 874 1156
2024-10-10 Jim Hetrick Invitational (Central DeWitt) Boys Varsity 5K 111 22:21.5 1191 1187
2024-10-15 River Valley XC High School Boys 83 21:42.59 1321 1266
2024-10-23 Solon 3A State Qualifier Boys 5K 81 20:57 1309 1294

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.