Natalie Stevens's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2023-09-09 All-American Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Junior Varsity 65 23:59.09 1369 1371
2023-09-14 Rich Engel Classic Rich Engel Classic XC Meet Varsity girls 100 23:52.79 1419 1398
2023-09-19 Waukon Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Junior Varsity 9 23:35.66 1415 1458
2023-09-28 Western Dubuque Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Junior Varsity 2 23:13.09 1335 1396
2023-10-03 South Winneshiek Invitational Womens 5,000 Meters Varsity 33 22:56.70 1418 1409
2023-10-10 Northeast Iowa Conference Championships Womens 5,000 Meters Junior Varsity 7 22:41 1440 1424
2024-09-03 2024 Oelwein Invitational Girls Varsity 5K 49 23:00.09 1508 1505
2024-09-14 Luther All-American Invitational Johnson-Olson All-American Race Girls Varsity 5k (Varsity) 128 22:42 1476 1487
2024-09-19 39th Rich Engel Classic CC 39th Rich Engel Classic CC Varsity Girls 49 23:51.09 1489 1488
2024-09-24 Waukon Invitational Varsity Girls 5K 39 23:35.29 1415 1458
2024-10-03 Western Dubuque Invitational Varsity Girls 52 24:39.09 1335 1396
2024-10-08 South Winneshiek Invitational Girls Varsity 5000M 27 22:36 1418 1409
2024-10-15 Northeast Iowa Conference High School Girls 16 22:05.71 1504 1457

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.