Natalie Holthaus's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2024-09-03 2024 Oelwein Invitational Girls Junior Varsity 5K 38 25:46.5 1283 1286
2024-09-14 Luther All-American Invitational Lynch-Dobyns All-American Race Girls Junior Varsity 5k (Junior Varsity) 82 25:01.09 1303 1297
2024-09-19 39th Rich Engel Classic CC 39th Rich Engel Classic CC JV girls 41 26:35.79 1281 1289
2024-09-24 Waukon Invitational Junior Varsity Girls 5K 19 25:07 1289 1289
2024-10-03 Western Dubuque Invitational JV Girls 17 24:58.79 1291 1290
2024-10-08 South Winneshiek Invitational Girls Varsity 5000M 41 23:30.70 1323 1304
2024-10-15 Northeast Iowa Conference High School Girls 39 23:40.17 1331 1316

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.