Shane Welch's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2024-09-10 Tipton XC Varsity Boys 85 41:17.30 376 395
2024-09-12 Northeast Cross Country Invitational Boys 5000 Meter Run 41 37:33.55 522 478
2024-09-14 Monticello XC JV Boys 77 35:41.69 438 453
2024-09-16 Midland XC High School Boys 55 42:45.09 423 440
2024-09-23 Bellevue Invitational Varsity Boys 68 37:00.59 423 432
2024-09-30 Bill Bails Invitational (North Cedar) Boys Junior Varsity 5K 30 44:06 417 425
2024-10-10 Jim Hetrick Invitational (Central DeWitt) Boys Junior Varsity 5K 79 37:58 369 396

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.