Ethan Pagel's Race Results

Below you'll find a detailed table of race results. The "Performance Score" reflects the rating for that specific race, while the "Updated Rating" represents your cumulative rating, influenced by past performances. This distinction is key, as your overall rating is a weighted average that slowly responds to your most recent race's performance score. For a visual representation of how these ratings evolve, refer to the graph below.

Event Date Event Name Race Name Finishing Place Finishing Time Performance Score Updated Rating
2024-09-03 2024 Oelwein Invitational Boys Varsity 5K 38 18:29.40 2009 2001
2024-09-10 Dick Pollitt Classic (Waverly-Shell Rock) Boys 9th/10th 5K 7 18:18.29 2009 2006
2024-09-14 Monticello XC Varsity Boys 43 18:29 1950 1981
2024-09-17 Starmont Invitational Boys Varsity 5K 35 18:33.20 1989 1985
2024-09-23 Denver Invitational Boys Varsity 5K 18 18:43.20 1978 1982
2024-10-01 Jesup Invitational Varsity Boys 5K 59 18:35 1907 1947
2024-10-05 Dan Huston/Steve Johnson Invitational Boys Varsity Gray 5000M 138 18:43 1948 1948
2024-10-17 North Iowa Cedar League Conference Meet Boys Varsity 5K 45 19:27 1762 1852
2024-10-24 2A State Qualifier @ Monticello High School Boys 35 18:34.90 1896 1885
2024-11-02 2A Iowa High School Cross Country Championships Class 2A Boys 5000M 107 18:28.70 1976 1936

Performance Trends Over Time

Explore the visual trends of performance scores and updated ratings across different events. This graphical representation helps in understanding the progression and fluctuations in performance over time.

Ratings are dynamic estimates, representing a range of potential future performance outcomes. The box plots above illustrate these ranges, with the red dotted line indicating the "Performance Score" and the solid blue line showing the "Updated Rating". A performance score falling outside the expected range can lead to significant adjustments in the updated rating, reflecting the dynamic nature of performance evaluation.